North American and European credit defaults to fall next year – S&P Global
Global credit default rates will remain contained next year with North American defaults falling to around 4% 

CLO issuance projected to hit new records in 2026 – KBRA
The ratings agency projects USD 220bn in issuance across US BSL CLOs and private credit CLOs as well as five to six European private credit CLOs next year

Record gross supply but meagre risk/reward ratio for CLOs next year, says JPMorgan in 2026 outlook
The bank is forecasting a new record gross supply figure of half a trillion dollars next year for the US CLO market, but that headline figure belies the ‘recycled’ nature of much of the supply, with new origination expected to decline by around 20%

US life insurers increase commitments to CLOs and private credit – Fitch

Alt IM-backed life insurers in the US are increasing their allocations to CLOs and private credit in the search for higher yield

BDC stock sell off could impact CLO BBs – BofA

BofA Securities warned of the possibility of a tactical sell off in CLO BBs in response to the BDC stock sell off

Rise in BBB fixed-rate CLO tranches in US overtake AAs—Barclays
CLOs tend to prefer floating rate assets, but the percentage of fixed-rate BBBs have ticked up since January 2024

Upgrades outpace downgrades in triple C tranches of CLOs in July – BofA
Despite July's reversal, the pace of triple C downgrades remains significant, BofA said, and is expected to reach 8% for triple Cs

Private debt market fundraising shows shift to Europe – Goldman Sachs
Private credit market fundraising has been pivoting to Europe, while global defaults remain below historical averages, according to new research from Goldman Sachs

US CLO spreads to widen as uncertainty and tariffs bite – JPMorgan
Higher US tariff levels may lead to CLO spreads widening and pressure US CLO market growth, but new origination has been more resilient than expected, according to JPMorgan analysts in their mid-year CLO outlook report

Mid-market CLO rally unlikely to endure — S&P Global
The positive start to the year has been undercut by uncertainty stemming from the Trump administration’s new tariff regime

Moody’s forecasts robust economic performance underpinning continued strength in CLOs
The ratings agency’s outlook for 2025 is upbeat about the prospects for both the US and European CLO markets, helped by declining leveraged loan defaults

BNP Paribas develops 'call score' for US CLOs
The new feature, dubbed ‘Call Score’, rates deals on a scale between 0 and 100, with the aim of identifying CLO deals that are imminent call candidates

JP Morgan revises CLO spread target upwards as recession fears mount
Off the back of renewed recession fears JP Morgan has revised its end-of-year AAA CLO spread target upwards to 150bps for both the US and Europe

New survey explores middle-market CLO operations
S&P Global Market Intelligence, in collaboration with Creditflux, conducted a study of middle-market CLO managers to assess how specialists are adapting their operations to tap this burgeoning opportunity

Bank holdings of CLOs drop by nearly 3% in first quarter
US bank holdings of CLOs fell 2.93% to USD 199bn in the first quarter, as repayments outweighed purchases of the securities

Technical strength drives primary US CLOs spreads below historical norms
Triple As are now pricing on top of historical levels, and other investment-grade CLO tranches are already pricing much tighter than historical trends, thanks to the technical strength observed in the primary US BSL CLO market

Middle market portfolios aren't immune to rate stress, according to new research
Two research reports published this week highlighted ongoing risks in middle market structured credit portfolios

Thirty years strong - new S&P report highlights resilience of CLO structures
If you’re feeling battered by the relentless Altice coverage, S&P Global Ratings has come out with a timely reminder that dealing with distress is something CLOs do exceptionally well

Barclays raises 2024 US BSL CLO new issue forecast
Barclays has become the latest bank research desk to increase its 2024 US BSL CLO new issue forecast

European CLO equity distributions keep getting better, US keep getting worse
The latest distributions for post-reinvestment US CLOs show the impact of rapid prepayment rates, but post-reinvestment European CLOs are bucking that trend and seem to be improving with age.

Fresh wave of CLO calls looms as US equity distributions drop
Equity distributions for US CLOs outside their reinvestment period continue to fall as prepayments cut into cashflows

European CLO primary spreads still have a long way to go
Are European CLO spreads in the primary market cheap or expensive? Our latest research shows that while US managers can celebrate AAAs reaching the 150s, in Europe spreads still have a long way to go to reach historical norms.

New research says that CLO arb is better than you think, but still not good enough
New research by Barclays’ Powell Eddins and Pranava Boyidapu suggests that CLO arbitrage is in a better place than many investors think, but that BBs are still more attractive

Investor wades into debate on whether CLO BB notes are literally underrated
The latest piece of thought-provoking research from Flat Rock Global broaches the thorny topic of structured credit ratings, asking “Are CLO BB Notes Investment Grade?”

Manager tiering matters, but don’t rely on proxies like WAS or WARF
With manager tiering continuing to dominate CLO primary pricing levels we take a look at the 2021 vintage to see how much difference a manager really makes to deal performance