US CLO issuance to drop 15% in 2023: Barclays
US CLO new issuance is likely to be around $117 billion in 2023, a decline of around 15% on 2022

Up to 40% more US loan supply will hit primary market next year: Barclays
US leveraged loan supply in 2023 will outstrip this year’s tally by a good margin, according to Barclays credit strategists in New York. But it will remain below average, particularly given the increased size of the index

Soft mood music abruptly dashed as Fed and BoE rile markets
The credit market’s strong run of improvement has come to an end this week, with the US Federal Reserve and Bank of England delivering a reality check to hopes of a more dovish path forward on interest rates

CLOs underperform recovery as central bank tone shifts: Barclays
CLOs have lagged the recovery in risk assets over the last week and remain at near year-to-date wides, according to research from Barclays. Strategists add CLO triple Bs look cheap versus high yield corporate bonds

Credit faces blind spot as borrowers enter higher default cycle: BNP Paribas
With short term rates outstripping nominal GDP growth, the credit cycle is entering its next and final stage – one in which corporate defaults will pick up but high quality borrowers should outperform

Private equity firms are becoming CLO converts: TwentyFour
Private equity firms have increasingly bought CLO and other securitised debt tranches in recent weeks instead of their usual preference for physical assets - a trade TwentyFour believes "makes perfect sense"

Credit pivots sharply as US returns to growth and ECB confirms record hiking cycle
After a wider start, credit markets reversed course Thursday having digested a strong US GDP reading and the European Central Bank lifting its base rate by 75bp – a move that confirms this as the region’s most aggressive ever hiking cycle

Sofr away from me – basis puts new CLO triple As in dire straits
A relative value gap has opened between secondary and primary market CLO triple A tranches, with the former looking attractive as volatility heightens and the basis grows between Libor and Sofr. This presents an additional problem for managers hoping to do new business

UK credit spreads rally for Rishi
UK credit spreads have rallied sharply on Monday with the victory of Rishi Sunak in the contest to become the country’s third prime minister of the year

It's time for bullish reversal on IG credit to play decompression: JP Morgan
Having been bearish most of the year JP Morgan has changed its view on investment grade credit to neutral, saying value has become too cheap to ignore

Credit/equity RV trades work better in selloffs than rallies: Barclays
Investors looking to exploit dislocations between high yield debt and equity would do better to short bonds following equity selloffs rather than buy bonds following equity rallies, according to Barclays credit strategists

Credit volatility leaps after US inflation bolters hawks
Credit volatility spiked on Thursday in the wake of a US inflation report that dispelled any remaining conjecture the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of interest rate hikes at the next policy meeting

Deutsche hires credit strategy head from rival bank
Deutsche Bank has hired a new head to oversee European and US credit strategy

CLO portfolio metrics "hit an inflection point", says S&P
US CLO credit metricts "have hit an inflection point in recent months and started to turn towards the negative", according to new research from S&P Ratings

US jobs strength sends traders scrambling to cut Fed pivot trades
Credit spreads are ending the week on a sharp move wider, with a heavy sell off hitting financial markets in the wake of US jobs numbers that suggest any notions of a Fed pivot on rates are premature

"Ugly" eurozone inflation numbers cap off torrid week for credit
Credit spreads are heading tighter into the weekend, as investors rebalance positions against a backdrop of easing currency pressures but a challenging array of European inflation numbers and a highly charged Brazilian election month about to kick off

Investors nurse wounds after UK scuppers credit expectations
Financial markets are picking up the pieces on Thursday following an extremely volatile session ignited in large part by UK economic mishap, which sparked fears of a financial crisis and necessitated the central bank’s intervention

US-led sell off shifts index roll technicals with key rates decisions looming
Further deterioration in global economic outlook is causing credit spreads to move back to the midpoint or wide end of their recent range, after a week of reversal from the previously more optimistic September trading run

Euro credit hits new tights against US after months of underperformance
The gap between European and US credit has closed, with indices trading at their tightest relationship for several months, after US economic data introduced a fresh bout of volatility

Structured credit cited by 42% of investors looking for fixed income replacement, Aeon finds
Institutional investors are largely looking to reallocate away from the fixed income market amid the macro-environment of rising interest rates, inflation and poor returns, according to a survey by Aeon

CLO inflows could hit $60 billion as knock on from student loan forgiveness, says BofA
US president Joe Biden’s student loan forgiveness programme could lead up to $60 billion flowing into the CLO market, according to research from BofA

Down in the hole: investors hedge their bets ahead of pivotal Powell
Credit spreads are shifting wider on Friday, after an initial improvement, as investors try to balance positions ahead of what could be a pivotal speech by US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell

Three defaults mean CLO OC ratios to decline by 17bp in September, says BofA
CLO overcollateralisation ratios are set to decline by 17 basis points in September following the defaults of Cineworld, Endo and Carestream health, according to a research paper from Bank of America

Widening asset/liability gulf will hurt CLOs: Barclays
A mismatch between CLO asset / liability rate risk is increasing in the US as more leveraged loan issuers opt for one-month pay frequency, Barclays credit strategists have found

Rising stars, decompression and trade unwinds set to drive September roll: Barclays
Decompression and US / Europe relative value trade unwinds look set to characterise the September CDS index roll, with the prospect of no changes to iTraxx Europe for the first time in recent memory, say Barclays credit strategists