Credit volatility leaps after US inflation bolters hawks
Credit volatility spiked on Thursday in the wake of a US inflation report that dispelled any remaining conjecture the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of interest rate hikes at the next policy meeting

Deutsche hires credit strategy head from rival bank
Deutsche Bank has hired a new head to oversee European and US credit strategy

CLO portfolio metrics "hit an inflection point", says S&P
US CLO credit metricts "have hit an inflection point in recent months and started to turn towards the negative", according to new research from S&P Ratings

US jobs strength sends traders scrambling to cut Fed pivot trades
Credit spreads are ending the week on a sharp move wider, with a heavy sell off hitting financial markets in the wake of US jobs numbers that suggest any notions of a Fed pivot on rates are premature

"Ugly" eurozone inflation numbers cap off torrid week for credit
Credit spreads are heading tighter into the weekend, as investors rebalance positions against a backdrop of easing currency pressures but a challenging array of European inflation numbers and a highly charged Brazilian election month about to kick off

Investors nurse wounds after UK scuppers credit expectations
Financial markets are picking up the pieces on Thursday following an extremely volatile session ignited in large part by UK economic mishap, which sparked fears of a financial crisis and necessitated the central bank’s intervention

US-led sell off shifts index roll technicals with key rates decisions looming
Further deterioration in global economic outlook is causing credit spreads to move back to the midpoint or wide end of their recent range, after a week of reversal from the previously more optimistic September trading run

Euro credit hits new tights against US after months of underperformance
The gap between European and US credit has closed, with indices trading at their tightest relationship for several months, after US economic data introduced a fresh bout of volatility

Structured credit cited by 42% of investors looking for fixed income replacement, Aeon finds
Institutional investors are largely looking to reallocate away from the fixed income market amid the macro-environment of rising interest rates, inflation and poor returns, according to a survey by Aeon

CLO inflows could hit $60 billion as knock on from student loan forgiveness, says BofA
US president Joe Biden’s student loan forgiveness programme could lead up to $60 billion flowing into the CLO market, according to research from BofA

Down in the hole: investors hedge their bets ahead of pivotal Powell
Credit spreads are shifting wider on Friday, after an initial improvement, as investors try to balance positions ahead of what could be a pivotal speech by US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell

Three defaults mean CLO OC ratios to decline by 17bp in September, says BofA
CLO overcollateralisation ratios are set to decline by 17 basis points in September following the defaults of Cineworld, Endo and Carestream health, according to a research paper from Bank of America

Widening asset/liability gulf will hurt CLOs: Barclays
A mismatch between CLO asset / liability rate risk is increasing in the US as more leveraged loan issuers opt for one-month pay frequency, Barclays credit strategists have found

Rising stars, decompression and trade unwinds set to drive September roll: Barclays
Decompression and US / Europe relative value trade unwinds look set to characterise the September CDS index roll, with the prospect of no changes to iTraxx Europe for the first time in recent memory, say Barclays credit strategists

Spreads gap wider with UK inflation adding to cocktail of concerns
Evidence of financial markets hitting a resistance point after three weeks of improvement is growing, with Monday’s bearish shift extending over into early trading Tuesday

Euro credit woes vs US set to resume with cyclicals shock likely: JP Morgan
Further decoupling lies ahead between euro and dollar credit, despite the recent positioning squeeze, warn JP Morgan credit strategists

US banks' CLO holdings rose $10bn in Q2, but demand is set to drop: BofA
CLO holdings by US banks increased by around $10 billion over the second quarter this year. But BofA anticipates subdued demand for the rest of the year due to high loan growth, slowdown in deposit growth and increased capital requirements

Position cutting tames market rally and strategists warn on primary impact
Caution is the watchword across financial markets on Tuesday, with the strong recent run giving way to hedging and position cutting ahead of a much-anticipated US inflation reading on Wednesday

US CLO triple C buckets will increase by up to 0.7% in August: BofA
US CLO triple-C baskets are expected to fill up by as much as 0.7% in August trustee reports, according to strategists at Bank of America, with the pace of triple C downgrades picking up in July to reverse an 18-month trend of stable or declining triple C concentrations

Short duration CLOs are putting reset risk in the post: Barclays
The CLO market’s recent trend of shorter duration issuance could be setting up a problem for managers down the line that will impact their equity returns, Barclays has warned

ECB acts on inflation but gas and other worries grow worse
If European Central Bank officials breathed a sigh of relief when their first hike in 11 years did not immediately rattle markets — or even dared believe a more hawkish signal helped confidence — the reprieve was short-lived

UBS says modelling suggests upcoming recession won’t bite
Likely global recession scenarios look mild according to strategists at UBS, who have run four models.

Green negative basis trades open up after GM issues bonds
There is an attractive entry point for ESG-minded credit investors to put on green negative basis trades, according to a research paper by Anthropocene    

Relief rally extends despite US and EU sending mixed signals on recession
Growth and inflation data on Friday has added impetus for the European Central Bank to maintain a hawkish stance at its September meeting, despite US signals suggesting that economy is in recession

Italian rout gathers pace as credit relationships warp well beyond historical norms
Renewed selling pressure on Thursday has taken credit spreads back towards the year’s wides, with financial borrowers underperforming as Chinese covid cases, US inflation and a drought in Italy all weigh on sentiment