Green QE is future, says BofA
Last week's European Central Bank strategy review confirmed that climate change policies will dictate the shape of future asset purchases, say Bank of America credit strategists

CLO demand to drive loan outperformance over bonds: BNP Paribas
The buying power of CLOs and funds could mean leveraged loans rally further and outpace high yield bonds, says BNP Paribas' credit research team

Single Bs and periphery in favour as European HY market deleverages: BofA
Single B, periphery, leisure, retail and services high yield credit all look to offer value, amid indications the European market is deleveraging quicker than expected

ESG drive poses little threat to CLO returns or flexibility, says Moody's
Environmental, social and governance investment criteria are not impairing CLOs either in flexibility or performance, Moody's Investors Service has found in a new report

Corp hybrid popularity mounts, but strategist outlooks diverge
Corporate hybrid bonds are becoming a focal point for investors in the second quarter, with one bank's credit strategy team making them a top pick to trade spread compression while another's has expressed caution on their likely performance

CLO investors still hungry for triple As and double Bs, says JP Morgan
Most CLO investors are looking to add risk through deals in the months ahead, with very few inclined to reduce exposure, a JP Morgan survey has found - despite the historic flood of issuance in the first quarter of this year

Yield rise is buying signal for bonds, says BNP Paribas
Credit spreads are set to hit new cyclical tights in the coming months, with the recent rise in yields having offered an attractive entry point especially for high-rated bonds, say BNP Paribas credit strategists

CLO equity ‘top trade’ could reach mid-teens returns, says JP Morgan
CLOs’ strong start to the year, in which the asset class has asset class has made gains against a sell off in government and corporate bonds, has put equity tranches on course for double digit returns in 2021, according to JP Morgan strategists

UN PRI's upcoming report on ESG in CLOs finds bar is very low
In a preview of the upcoming report, Carmen Nuzzo, head of fixed income at UN Principles for Responsible Investment, reveals to Creditflux key highlights from its ESG in securitisation report

BofA forecasts record European CLO volume in 2021 as another reset prices
Carlyle Group has become the first manager in March to reset a European CLO, while BofA estimates the European CLO market might break a new record in 2021

Rates moves points to credit improvement, say BofA strategists
Focus on the rates market and the future direction of central banks has brought jitters back to credit in recent weeks and had a chilling affect on bond total returns. But higher government yields could end up being good for credit, say Bank of America strategists

ESG growth in CLOs has momentum in 2021, say JPM strategists
ESG investing in securitised products such as CLOs have 'momentum for growth in 2021' despite very slow volume growth and lack of progress in standardised scoring over the past year, say JP Morgan strategists in a research note

Buy CLO equity to capitalise on reflation, says JP Morgan
CLO equity stands out in a tightly priced market as offering up to double digit yields, say JP Morgan structured credit strategists, who posit it as their top trade

Bet on beta compression - except in sub fin CDS, say BofA strategists
Beta compression will be a dominant theme in 2021 for high yield versus investment grade CDS and bonds, financial versus non-financial credit and subordinated versus senior financial bonds, say Bank or America strategists in a research note. Short volatility positions are also attractive, they add, while cautioning sub versus senior financial CDS could buck the trend

Robots rise for credit ratings
A fintech platform is launching this month that aims to use artificial intelligence to democratise credit ratings.

Go long index mezz tranches to pick up spread: Citi
Citi research has outlined some of the opportunities that have arisen in the index tranche market as a result of elevated correlation

Green credit advocate launches research body
Stockholm-based portfolio manager and green credit advocate Ulf Erlandsson has today announced the launch of research body Anthropocene Fixed Income Institute (AFII)

European CLO portfolio overlap increases by 3%: S&P
European CLO portfolio overlap for new issue deals since mid-March has increased to 37.73%, according to a recent report by S&P, around 3% higher than the average of 36% for all European CLOs rated by S&P

Barclays increases European loan and CLO issuance forecasts
Barclays has increased its European leveraged loans issuance expectations due to “better than expected recovery in issuance from M&A and LBO activity”, while its European CLO 2020 issuance forecast increased to  €15 billion-€18 billion, up from a previous estimate of €12-15 billion

Private debt secondaries volume nosedives 81% in H1
Global private debt fund secondaries volume nosedived 81.8% during the first half of 2020 as the effects of coronavirus began to surface, according to a recently released report by Setter Capital

Governance has greatest impact on short-term changes in company valuation out of ESG factors, finds MSCI
Governance has more impact than environmental and social factors on company financial fundamentals and stock price in the short term, but ‘E’ and ‘S’ play their part over the long term, according to analysis from MSCI

Go for short-duration and high-end CLO paper, says JP Morgan
This year is shaping up to be nearly as weak for CLO new issuance as 2008, according to JP Morgan strategists, who recommend investors seek value in short duration double/triple A paper or in higher-tier triple/double B

CLO and distressed fund recovery disparity could grow, say Barclays
CLO investors should apply a haircut to the $55-60 loan recovery range to better estimate recoveries in CLO models, as the disparity between how distressed debt funds and CLOs extract value in a loan restructuring is expected to widen

Leveraged loan spreads to widen to March levels, warn UBS strategists
US leveraged loan spreads could widen back to March levels of 825 basis points as default risk increases, according to strategists at UBS.

Autos dominate in BofA €25 billion fallen angel watchlist
Downgrade impact for fallen angels in the coming months could be more extreme than during the 2008 financial crisis, Bank of America strategists have warned, as they identified €25 billion worth of debt at European investment grade companies most at risk of falling into high yield territory