Private credit is too small to create a global financial crisis — but there are plenty of other storm clouds gathering
Total bankruptcy filings have climbed every quarter since June 2022

Monthly defaults driven by bankruptcies for first time in two years – S&P Global
Five of the eight defaults recorded in September resulted from bankruptcy filings, with three coming from the US, according to a new research report

US Trustee seeks examiner in First Brands bankruptcy, citing USD 2.3bn of missing funds and ‘malfeasance’
The US Trustee has called First Brands' internal investigation insufficient due to the scope of the allegations, while factoring provider Raistone is also seeking an examiner, citing the need for an impartial investigation

Corporate default rates predicted to fall despite tariff uncertainty - S&P
Speculative-grade corporate default rates expected to fall on both sides of the Atlantic as trade tension uncertainty eases, but some concerns remain

Default expectations rise as tariff threats to North America deepen – IACPM survey
Credit portfolio managers across the world see tariff-related headwinds for both the US and Canada

Altice isn’t just a European CLO problem
The latest BofA research estimates that US CLO OC test breaches could jump to as high as 17% if all Altice entiites are downgraded

Global corporate defaults on fastest pace since 2009 according to S&P
The number of corporate defaults has risen dramatically year-to-date, according to S&P Global Ratings, driven by a doubling of the rate of defaults in Europe

CLO debt prices imply default rate exceeding forecasts, says Orchard Global
Current pricing of CLO debt tranches implies a default rate that is "far in excess" of the most pessimistic forecasts, according to Orchard Global Asset Management

Russia and Ukraine debt recovery outlooks diverge as DC publishes auction lists
The credit event auction to settle Russian sovereign CDS will have eight bonds deliverable, while 15 bonds have made it onto a preliminary list for Ukraine’s auction

CLOs keep eyes glued to screen as Cineworld previews possible chapter 11
Cineworld, the UK-based cinema giant, has announced that a chapter 11 restructuring is among the options it is considering, in response to recent media speculation about a possible default

Russia credit event auction starts to firm up as DC mulls settlement options
Russian Federation sovereign CDS will be settled in the first half of September, the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has said. But settlement restrictions still require further discussion

Ukraine triggers restructuring credit event
Ukraine has triggered a restructuring credit event, the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has ruled

Ukraine credit event question accepted by DC
The Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has accepted a request to rule on whether Ukraine has triggered a restructuring credit event, following the country’s agreement last week to defer debt payments

Russian Federation auction list features eight bonds
The lengthening endeavour to organise a Russian Federation credit event auction has taken another step forward, with the publication of a preliminary list of deliverable obligations

Russia CDS auction deliverables list takes shape after sanctions licence
Russian Federation bonds cleared by Euroclear may be the only deliverable obligations to settle sovereign CDS contracts referencing the country, the Emea Determinations Committee has said, although it is also considering Clearstream listed bonds as it moves forward with preparations for a credit event auction

Russia CDS settlement receives boost from US sanctions update
The long wait to settle CDS contracts referencing the Russia Federation could soon be over, with previous uncertainty over how US sanctions would impact a credit event auction apparently having been addressed

Internet company triggers restructuring credit event at third time of asking
Yandex, the multinational internet and search engine company that predominantly serves Russian and Russian language users, has triggered a restructuring credit event

Russian credit event auction plans put on hold after US sanctions update
Settlement of Russian Federation sovereign CDS has hit a delay, with the US having published updated advice on sanctions that could jeopardise the ability to conduct a credit event auction

DC explains Russian credit event ruling - but not sole member opposition
Factors backing Russian Federation’s credit event trigger have been outlined by the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee, but without giving any explanation for Citi’s decision to vote against the decision

Russia triggers failure-to-pay credit event
The Russian Federation has triggered a failure-to-pay credit event on sovereign bonds, the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has ruled – marking an historic moment that caps off a long run of deliberations on the country’s international debt since it invaded Ukraine on 24 February

Yandex posed to DC as restructuring credit event
Yandex, the multinational internet and search engine company that serves Russian language users, has been posed to the Credit Derviative Determinations Committee as a restructuring credit event

Russia auction prep on pause after last minute scramble
The Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has put on pause its preparation for a credit event auction to settle Russian Federation CDS, amid reports the country has made good on sovereign debt payments right at the wire

Russia looks to avoid default as deliverable list points to 27-cent recovery
The Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has published a preliminary list of bonds it deems deliverable into Russian Federation CDS contracts, even though reports suggest Russia may have avoided default with just one day left on the country's grace period for overdue international bond payments

Prep work begins for Russia credit event auction
The Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has started preparing for a credit event auction to settle CDS referencing the Russian Federation, which stands on the brink of triggering sovereign contracts

Potential failure to pay has occurred on Russian CDS, says Determinations Committee
The Russian Federation is moving closer to triggering a credit event on foreign debt, with the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee having ruled a potential failure to pay has occurred