Corporate default rates predicted to fall despite tariff uncertainty - S&P
Speculative-grade corporate default rates expected to fall on both sides of the Atlantic as trade tension uncertainty eases, but some concerns remain

Default expectations rise as tariff threats to North America deepen – IACPM survey
Credit portfolio managers across the world see tariff-related headwinds for both the US and Canada

Fitch reports improvement in European CLO default rates during 2024
The cumulative number of defaulted issuers rated double-C or below in EMEA CLO portfolios fell to 19 in 2024 from 22 the previous year, according to Fitch

Altice isn’t just a European CLO problem
The latest BofA research estimates that US CLO OC test breaches could jump to as high as 17% if all Altice entiites are downgraded

Global corporate defaults on fastest pace since 2009 according to S&P
The number of corporate defaults has risen dramatically year-to-date, according to S&P Global Ratings, driven by a doubling of the rate of defaults in Europe

Troubled European name reaches end-game
The long-running saga of French mass-market retail group Casino Guichard-Perrachon appears to be nearly over as the firm filed for Chapter 15 recognition in the US

Ukraine auction settles CDS below expected recovery
An auction to settle sovereign CDS contracts referencing Ukraine produced a final price slightly below expectations, despite net buying demand for bonds to physically settle contracts

Ukraine auction looks set to avoid Russia-style bond squeeze
An auction to settle sovereign CDS contracts referencing Ukraine looks set to produce a final price much more in line with bond trading levels than the result earlier this month for Russian Federation contracts

CLO debt prices imply default rate exceeding forecasts, says Orchard Global
Current pricing of CLO debt tranches implies a default rate that is "far in excess" of the most pessimistic forecasts, according to Orchard Global Asset Management

Euro CLOs demonstrate "considerable resiliency" to upcoming CLO maturity wall, says S&P
Managers and investors should keep an eye on upcoming CLO maturity wall with “potential adverse effects” amid tighter financing conditions and the impact that could have on CLO performance and ratings

Russia and Ukraine debt recovery outlooks diverge as DC publishes auction lists
The credit event auction to settle Russian sovereign CDS will have eight bonds deliverable, while 15 bonds have made it onto a preliminary list for Ukraine’s auction

CLOs keep eyes glued to screen as Cineworld previews possible chapter 11
Cineworld, the UK-based cinema giant, has announced that a chapter 11 restructuring is among the options it is considering, in response to recent media speculation about a possible default

Russia credit event auction starts to firm up as DC mulls settlement options
Russian Federation sovereign CDS will be settled in the first half of September, the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has said. But settlement restrictions still require further discussion

Ukraine triggers restructuring credit event
Ukraine has triggered a restructuring credit event, the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has ruled

Ukraine credit event question accepted by DC
The Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has accepted a request to rule on whether Ukraine has triggered a restructuring credit event, following the country’s agreement last week to defer debt payments

Ukraine posed as credit event after country defers debt
Ukraine has been posed to the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee as a restructuring credit event, following the country’s agreement last week to defer debt payments

Russian Federation auction list features eight bonds
The lengthening endeavour to organise a Russian Federation credit event auction has taken another step forward, with the publication of a preliminary list of deliverable obligations

Russia CDS auction deliverables list takes shape after sanctions licence
Russian Federation bonds cleared by Euroclear may be the only deliverable obligations to settle sovereign CDS contracts referencing the country, the Emea Determinations Committee has said, although it is also considering Clearstream listed bonds as it moves forward with preparations for a credit event auction

Russia CDS settlement receives boost from US sanctions update
The long wait to settle CDS contracts referencing the Russia Federation could soon be over, with previous uncertainty over how US sanctions would impact a credit event auction apparently having been addressed

Internet company triggers restructuring credit event at third time of asking
Yandex, the multinational internet and search engine company that predominantly serves Russian and Russian language users, has triggered a restructuring credit event

Russian credit event auction plans put on hold after US sanctions update
Settlement of Russian Federation sovereign CDS has hit a delay, with the US having published updated advice on sanctions that could jeopardise the ability to conduct a credit event auction

DC explains Russian credit event ruling - but not sole member opposition
Factors backing Russian Federation’s credit event trigger have been outlined by the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee, but without giving any explanation for Citi’s decision to vote against the decision

Russia triggers failure-to-pay credit event
The Russian Federation has triggered a failure-to-pay credit event on sovereign bonds, the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has ruled – marking an historic moment that caps off a long run of deliberations on the country’s international debt since it invaded Ukraine on 24 February

Russia default claims resurface to shorten timeline to possible credit event
Russia is back in the spotlight amid renewed sovereign debt default claims, with the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee asked once again to rule whether the country has triggered a failure-to-pay credit event

DC rejects Yandex credit event question
Yandex will not be weighed as a credit event, with the Credit Derivative Determinations Committee having rejected the query it received on the matter