Relief rally for riskiest credits brings reversal on dispersion and first loss trades
Some of the European high yield credit market's riskiest corporate credits are enjoying a strong relief rally, among signals of reprieve from the woes that have beset them in recent weeks

Performance dispersion hits index equity correlation
Volatility at the start of the year has intensified moves in iTraxx and CDX index tranches, with traders pointing to growing dispersion in performance among constituents as a theme that will bring more focus on equity correlation in 2022

CLO lower cap stack will outperform with $175bn new issuance in 2022: JP Morgan
Equity and lower rated tranche investors will do best as $175 billion of global new CLO issuance arrives in 2022, predict JP Morgan strategists in their annual outlook, taking market size to $1.2 trillion

Loans will be winners in bearish year for credit: BNP Paribas
Floating rate loans are best positioned for a year of widening credit spreads, but high yield bonds will outperform investment grade and EM credit is set for losses, says BNP Paribas in its 2022 outlook

Citi's former correlation trading star takes on new risk head role
Citi's former head of credit correlation trading has taken on a new role in the bank, becoming head of in-business market risk for global markets

Sofr transition timing puts CLO debt and equity at odds, says BNP Paribas
CLO investors look to have tough conversations ahead on the structure implications of the transition from Libor to Sofr, with BNP Paribas strategists noting CLO debt will benefit from an early move while equity tranches would do better to wait

Dispersion trades in play as transatlantic rift opens
The return of idiosyncratic risk at the wide end of US and European high yield markets has put index equity tranches for the two jurisdictions on noticeably divergent paths, say correlation traders

Credit Rendezvous: And breathe...
The unanimous verdict is that credit spreads will be moving wider – they have to. But the difficulty credit fund managers face is predicting when the next sell-off comes and how sharp it will be. In the Q3 instalment of Creditflux’s Credit Rendezvous, the over-riding message from portfolio managers is that there’s little point in taking on too much risk. The report features the views of prominent credit figures including Paul Horvath (Orchard), Himani Trivedi (Nuveen), Ronnie Jaber (Onex), Graham Rainbow (Alcentra) and Michelle Russell-Dowe (Schroders). The report looks at 14 segments of the market including CLOs, direct lending, leveraged loans, distressed debt and credit derivatives.  

No labels mean CLO triple As refuse to budge as mezz rallies
Senior European CLO spreads are stuck in the mid 80s as mezzanine tranches rally, with market participants bemoaning the lack of depth in the triple A investor base relative to ABS products

Past returns: Having a whale of a time in tranches
In Creditflux 10 years ago we reported on JP Morgan’s “little known prop book” making waves in index tranches

Structured credit dragged very wide — but CLOs stand to gain
Senior tranches of securitisations widened 220% in less than a month as the coronavirus pandemic has meant an increase in systemic risk — a sharp turnaround from the past few months when idiosyncratic risks were being cited as the main concern for structured credit investors.

CLO investors should be looking at CSOs

Arrival of five-year bespokes draws in CLO investors
Synthetic bespoke tranches are undergoing a major shift, with dealers projecting five-year business to supersede previously dominant shorter tenors by the end of 2019.

Past returns: secret CLO market
Five years ago in Creditflux, we reported on the emergence of an inter-dealer market for CLOs

German bad bank wins huge CLO auction
A German bad bank has emerged as the winner of a huge auction of CLOs and other asset-backed securities this morning

Timing of CLO b-wic puzzles market participants
A huge CLO bid list scheduled for Friday (10 March) represents part of the liquidation of a CDO of ABS, according to Creditflux’s sister intelligence service Debtwire ABS