Structured credit cited by 42% of investors looking for fixed income replacement, Aeon finds
Institutional investors are largely looking to reallocate away from the fixed income market amid the macro-environment of rising interest rates, inflation and poor returns, according to a survey by Aeon

Down in the hole: investors hedge their bets ahead of pivotal Powell
Credit spreads are shifting wider on Friday, after an initial improvement, as investors try to balance positions ahead of what could be a pivotal speech by US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell

Widening asset/liability gulf will hurt CLOs: Barclays
A mismatch between CLO asset / liability rate risk is increasing in the US as more leveraged loan issuers opt for one-month pay frequency, Barclays credit strategists have found

Rising stars, decompression and trade unwinds set to drive September roll: Barclays
Decompression and US / Europe relative value trade unwinds look set to characterise the September CDS index roll, with the prospect of no changes to iTraxx Europe for the first time in recent memory, say Barclays credit strategists

Spreads gap wider with UK inflation adding to cocktail of concerns
Evidence of financial markets hitting a resistance point after three weeks of improvement is growing, with Monday’s bearish shift extending over into early trading Tuesday

Euro credit woes vs US set to resume with cyclicals shock likely: JP Morgan
Further decoupling lies ahead between euro and dollar credit, despite the recent positioning squeeze, warn JP Morgan credit strategists

Position cutting tames market rally and strategists warn on primary impact
Caution is the watchword across financial markets on Tuesday, with the strong recent run giving way to hedging and position cutting ahead of a much-anticipated US inflation reading on Wednesday

Short duration CLOs are putting reset risk in the post: Barclays
The CLO market’s recent trend of shorter duration issuance could be setting up a problem for managers down the line that will impact their equity returns, Barclays has warned

ECB acts on inflation but gas and other worries grow worse
If European Central Bank officials breathed a sigh of relief when their first hike in 11 years did not immediately rattle markets — or even dared believe a more hawkish signal helped confidence — the reprieve was short-lived

UBS says modelling suggests upcoming recession won’t bite
Likely global recession scenarios look mild according to strategists at UBS, who have run four models.

Relief rally extends despite US and EU sending mixed signals on recession
Growth and inflation data on Friday has added impetus for the European Central Bank to maintain a hawkish stance at its September meeting, despite US signals suggesting that economy is in recession

Italian rout gathers pace as credit relationships warp well beyond historical norms
Renewed selling pressure on Thursday has taken credit spreads back towards the year’s wides, with financial borrowers underperforming as Chinese covid cases, US inflation and a drought in Italy all weigh on sentiment

IG payers provide best tail-risk hedges: Barclays
Investors seeking the cheapest tail risk hedge should look to CDX IG payers, while iTraxx Europe payers are the best hedge against further European underperformance, finds Barclays

Go long duration in consumers and industrials: BofA
The year’s wides still lie ahead in the second half, but China reopening is bullish for consumer and industrial spreads and investors should extend duration in high-quality credit, according to Bank of America strategists

Euro loans with FX hedging offer better value than US: Barclays
The big underperformance of European loans in June has left them looking cheap versus those in the US – but FX hedging and a nuanced selection process are advisable for investors looking to take advantage of that

Euro double As and US triple As offer best value in CLOs: BNP Paribas
Secondary market double A rated tranches offer the best relative value in European CLOs’ capital structures, while US triple As in primary starting to look attractive, according to BNP Paribas credit strategists

CLO spreads are not pricing in recession: JP Morgan
CLOs are priced fairly for a growth slowdown but not a recession, according to JP Morgan credit strategists, who warn spreads are at risk if US growth contracts

EU inflation prints frame challenge ahead as horror show first half ends
Financial markets are heading into the weekend with a rare stationary session, but the mood is more one of shellshock than considered positioning, after one of the worst first halves to a year on record

Manager selection stakes are heightening as CLO pain points intensify: Barclays
CLOs’ slump in market value and piling of distressed assets have made differentiation between managers much more acute on key metrics, regionally and by vintage, according to Barclays credit strategists

Credit lacks 'good answer' on what could cap spread widening: JP Morgan
Without any clear candidates to put a lid on spread widening, investment grade and high yield credit markets look set to extend much wider than current levels, warn JP Morgan strategists

CLO investors show more signs of optimism than other ABS: Barclays
CLO investors attending the Global ABS conference in Barcelona were more upbeat than those that work in residential mortgage-backed securities and other ABS, say Barclays securitised credit strategists. But the overall mood was sombre

Europe trades heavier than US as market baulks at new hikes
Credit spreads have resumed their push wider, with European indices once again under more pressure than their US counterparts

Credit rout eases as ECB holds emergency meeting ahead of Fed rates decision
Credit markets are undergoing a relief rally, even as the US Federal Reserve prepares to deliver its moment of truth decision on policy tightening and the European Central Bank holds an emergency meeting to address the recent sell-off in risk assets

Euro IG credit looks set to outperform US, HY and equities: Barclays
An outlook of elevated inflation and low growth favours credit over equities, and euro investment grade over high yield, according to European credit strategists at Barclays

Market jitters mount as US delivers May CPI
Credit spreads have moved sharply wider for the fourth day straight as investors digested the European Central Bank’s hawkish turn and watched with trepidation for the US to reveal its May consumer price index numbers