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Hedging picks up as dip-buying is weighed against inflation
3 years ago
Inflation and rates will be the central drivers of credit market performance into the end of the year and beyond, investors and strategists agree -
Credit suffers double punch from treasury and energy surge
3 years ago
Credit markets are nursing their wounds after taking a battering on Wednesday, prompted by a surge in oil prices and spike in government bond yields that add to concerns about rising inflation -
Investors shrug at new Evergrande bond deadline a week on from roll havoc
3 years ago
Chinese real estate giant Evergrande looks unlikely to meet a $45 million bond payment due on Wednesday despite reports it plans to sell a $1.5 billion commercial bank stake. But credit markets are showing very little reaction despite initial default concerns having up-ended CDS index rolls only last week -
Chinese power crunch brings off day for credit as investor optimism dims
3 years ago
Concerns about a China slowdown, Germany's election result, rate hikes and the US government's inability to lift its debt ceiling have contributed to a sharp move wider in credit, as investors attempt to digest a variety of big unknowns -
HY set to roll after rocky week scuttles investors
3 years ago
Market participants are holding their breath ahead of the roll of US high yield index CDX HY, after a week of volatility and fund outflows -
Credit rally extends as Fed hurdle passes and Evergrande views evolve
3 years ago
Credit markets are rallying for a second day, after the US Federal Reserve meeting indicated a shortening timeline to rate hikes but no shocks. A key deadline for China Evergrande bond payments still overshadows the Thursday session, but investor expectations have gravitated to a more localised impact for any fall out -
Barclays fills gap by hiring global macro credit trading head in New York
3 years ago
Banks are moving quickly to make sure they are staffed up in credit trading with Barclays bringing in an experienced trader in New York -
Credit optimism returns on Evergrande and Fed but big questions loom large
3 years ago
Credit markets have moved onto a firmer footing, with one day of this week’s US Federal Reserve meeting out of way and troubled Chinese real estate behemoth Evergrande having negotiated a domestic yuan bond payment. But there is plenty of room for upset in the coming sessions -
Real estate panic brings turbulent changeover for credit indices
3 years ago
New credit derivative index series have emerged at much wider levels, after a turbulent market rout made roll day more challenging for participants -
“For Creditflux this will be an extra special occasion - the publication is marking its 20th year in business”
3 years ago
A colourful train journey featuring Alice in Wonderland, Yoda and Top Trumps puts Welshcake in mind of the CLO Symposium -
US spreads narrow gap with Europe as credit hits new record tights
3 years ago
Corporate credit spreads are exploring new tights for the year, with Europe taking its turn to grind inwards once again today after strong sessions in Asia earlier and the US on Tuesday -
Chinese credit makes gains as Europe and US slump on Fed taper fears
3 years ago
Chinese credit spreads on Thursday depicted an island of optimism as global credit and stocks - including its own - slumped against a mounting confluence of concerns -
China teaches tough lessons to foreign investors
China’s regulatory crackdown on some of its fastest-growing industries created shockwaves that have reverberated widely, dragging on US and European credit at the end of July. -
Credit hedge funds (August 2021)
3 years ago
Credit hedge fund returns -
US plays catch up with Europe as spreads reconverge
3 years ago
There has been a slight softening of European credit on Tuesday, even as stocks hold onto their record highs and US credit spreads take their chance to close the gap after recent underperformance -
Publishing boost for French firm but China sours wider market
3 years ago
Lagardere is a notable positive outlier in another off day for the credit market, after China turmoil rocked stocks and sent spreads wider -
China crackdown and Fed meeting rattle nerves
3 years ago
Credit spreads widened as financial markets began the week on a less certain footing amid panic stock selling in China and a retreat to treasuries ahead of the US Federal Reserve two-day monetary policy meeting -
Credit Rendezvous: And breathe...
3 years ago
The unanimous verdict is that credit spreads will be moving wider – they have to. But the difficulty credit fund managers face is predicting when the next sell-off comes and how sharp it will be. In the Q3 instalment of Creditflux’s Credit Rendezvous, the over-riding message from portfolio managers is that there’s little point in taking on too much risk. The report features the views of prominent credit figures including Paul Horvath (Orchard), Himani Trivedi (Nuveen), Ronnie Jaber (Onex), Graham Rainbow (Alcentra) and Michelle Russell-Dowe (Schroders). The report looks at 14 segments of the market including CLOs, direct lending, leveraged loans, distressed debt and credit derivatives. -
The View from ION Analytics: paradise blues
3 years ago
The reopening of economies from Covid-19 lockdowns has created distortions in financial markets that are harder to navigate than those of the original sell-off in early 2020. Even big-name economists and central bankers are confused, changing their views in recent weeks. -
"In the afternoon I awoke from a pile of willow leaves to discover we had created a Welsh ether-based token"
4 years ago
A localised crypto-currency boom and bust cycle teaches Welshcake (again) that everything becomes correlated in a downturn -
Credit bull run picks up amid commodities surge
4 years ago
European credit spreads have made a sharp turn for the tighter, building on last week's strong run, even after Asian spreads weakened on rising commodity costs -
Sell-off regathers momentum as inflation signals mount
4 years ago
A glum mood has returned to financial markets, beginning with the US session on Tuesday and overspilling into global trading on Wednesday -
Credit underperformance resumes as equity turns corner
4 years ago
Credit markets are pushing wider once again on Wednesday, even though stock markets look to regaining some composure following Tuesday's steep sell off -
Tobacco splutters in broad market sell off
4 years ago
Credit and equity are under pressure on Tuesday as markets pull back from their improved levels amid concerns about the worsening global covid-19 picture. But tobacco companies have their own problems to contend with, with the US considering a proposal to require lower nicotine levels in cigarettes and other countries also looking to curb sales -
Credit Rendezvous: ready and waiting
4 years ago
In Creditflux's quarterly review of credit, portfolio managers tell us that Inflation is likely to nudge higher but they are optimistic because dispersion will pick up and windows of volatility will emerge, rather than elongated phases of stress
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