As direct lenders seek efficient, scalable financing tools, private credit CLOs are growing fast
PCLOs have reached USD 135bn, or 13% of the overall CLO market

The market will not look kindly on managers that don’t reset their deals
In today’s CLO market, the choice is stark: reset or slowly perish

Are unusual deals from Clearlake and JPMorgan signs of things to come?
Deals that would have gone to public markets switched to private credit

Lenders hit by LMEs will eventually have to increase the cost of capital
Chipping away at what has made loans successful has a cost

CLOs that refinanced in 2024 are set to take advantage of market turbulence
There are opportunities for CLOs to build par through discounted purchases

Long-term CLO investments require strong distributions, healthy equity NAVs, and an extended life

Large managers have many advantages. But they don’t hold all the cards

Despite superficial similarities, CLOs and SRTs don’t have much in common

Atos provides a French lesson for SRT investors

Jamie Dimon’s JPMorgan is angling to be a major private credit lender. But it may come back to bite

This time around, BlackRock will be poised to be a shaper of the move
USD 12bn seems a lot to pay for HPS. But BlackRock urgently needed to catch up in private credit

Private credit lenders don’t have to put up with exotic assets and complex structures — they can choose SRTs
If rapid growth and diversification into exotic asset classes, complex structures, opaque valuations, PIK-ing, etc, all sound a bit 2008, there are alternatives. Private credit is not a monolith nor, in some parts, is it a crowded trade.

Diversification is driving direct lending allocations in Italy and Canada
In recent visits to Milan and Toronto, we heard how private capital is becoming accepted as a core allocation in institutional investment portfolios

Past returns; Points up front
Past returns - PIMCO back and growing; Points up front - Avoiding catching the CLO bug & The bells ring out for public listings

By raising billions, private credit funds are causing a seismic shift in leveraged finance
Private credit funds are amassing a huge war chest that’s permanently changing the complexion of the leveraged finance market

A trusted brand is no longer enough — CLO manager tiering is now based on a range of data
Investors now pay close attention to the characteristics of each CLO, rather than relying solely on the collateral manager’s overall reputation or size

Atlas SP joins new CLO arrangers vying for growth as sector booms
Apollo Global Management affiliate Atlas SP has joined the ranks of CLO arrangers, adding to the burgeoning number of new entrants eager to get into the lucrative business

This year sees elections affecting about 49% of the world’s population
There are many reasons to fear the populist right, but markets are more scared of uncertainty

The Last Tranche with Christine Ferris
In the latest edition of The Last Tranche podcast we talked to JP Morgan’s global head of CLO primary Christine Ferris about why she loves working with debut managers, despite the extra challenges they face coming to market.

Private credit is the regulatory fix that became an asset class
Institutional investors have pushed private credit to greater scale than either loans or bonds

As banks are forced to offload more risk, SRTs build an increasingly long list of advantages
Banks — even global systemically important banks — need additional capital. Problem CRE exposures, increased reserve requirements for expected credit losses under IFRS9/CECL, the entrance of government bond portfolio losses... 

Nordic countries have much in common — including a growing appetite for private credit
Norway, Sweden and Denmark share many similarities. The ‘Nordic model’ includes high standards of living, free-market economies, liberal welfare states, a tendency for workers to unionise, and a relatively narrow gap between low and high earners.

ESG initiatives should avoid unfavourable reactions by pursuing substance over form
By any financial measure, the collaboration of trans activist Dylan Mulvaney with Bud Light hurt the brand. What was formerly America’s best-selling beer saw its market share collapse — from over 35% in May 2023 to around 9% in June — because of a boycott by US conservatives after a 60-second TikTok video aired of Mulvaney drinking it.

Despite CLO gloom in Europe and greater take up of private credit in the US, markets on both sides of the Atlantic are similar
I’ve just returned from a trip to London, my first since taking on the mantle of editing Creditflux, and was struck as always by how stubbornly far apart the European and the US markets remain.

In Europe, captive CLO equity funds are a boon to CLO managers and the wider economy
The envy is inevitable. But criticism of these structures is entirely misplaced